Housing Prices Rise in Sofia, but Affordability Improves
Housing affordability in Sofia has improved since the pandemic, making it one of the few capitals in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) to experience this positive trend
Gold prices surged to a new all-time high of 2,353 USD per ounce during early trading on Monday, continuing a rapid ascent witnessed over the past two weeks. This surge comes as investors grapple with the aftermath of a robust U.S. jobs report released on Friday, which has prompted reconsideration of market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy. The report revealed that the U.S. economy added 303,000 jobs in March, the fastest pace in 10 months, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.8% from 3.9% in February.
Market sentiment had previously leaned towards an anticipation of the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in June, with odds reaching over 60%. However, the strong jobs report has cast doubt on this outlook, leading to a revision of expectations. Investors are now pricing in a reduced likelihood of a rate cut in June and projecting a total rate cut of 62 basis points by the end of 2024, down from earlier expectations of three 25-basis-point cuts in the latter half of the year.
The upcoming release of March U.S. inflation data on Wednesday is eagerly awaited, as it is expected to provide further insight into market expectations regarding the Fed's future interest rate adjustments. Generally, higher interest rates are not conducive to gold prices, as gold does not offer interest payments.
Following the record high, gold prices experienced some stabilization around the 2,330 USD to 2,340 USD range. Since the beginning of the year, gold has surged by more than 18%, driven partly by optimism surrounding the Fed's potential rate cut. Additionally, central bank gold purchases, particularly by the People's Bank of China, have contributed to the rally. China's central bank increased its gold reserves for the 17th consecutive month in March, albeit at a slower pace compared to previous months.
Central banks globally, led by China and India, continued to bolster their gold reserves in February, marking the ninth consecutive month of growth. However, net purchase volumes declined by 58% from the previous month due to increased sales. The status of gold as a "safe haven investment" has also been reinforced by ongoing geopolitical tensions, notably in the Middle East, where conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has raised concerns about regional stability and potential escalation.
The Bulgarian Ministry of Finance has unveiled the draft budget for 2025, alongside the updated medium-term fiscal forecast covering 2025 to 2028
Thousands of Bulgarian consumers who invested in the British company BETL have reported that the company has stopped paying daily dividends and appears to have ceased its operations.
In recent weeks, there has been ongoing concern regarding the state's expenses for next year, with projections showing that costs far exceed available funds
The Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) has voiced strong opposition to a proposed 10% tax on banks' excess profits, citing concerns that it would destabilize the financial sector
Economist Rumen Galabinov has stated that Bulgaria's potential future membership in the Eurozone could significantly benefit the country's economy
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Bulgaria in the third quarter of 2024 grew by 2.4% compared to the same period in 2023
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