Sensational Prognosis: President Radev Will Disband New Parliament on 13 May
The plenary hall of the new parliament may well be empty again after May 13. This is the critical date by which we will have known whether there will be another election because of impossibility to form a government, writes Trud daily.
The ratio between the political forces in the 45th National Assembly will also prove to be a problem when adopting a new Rules of Procedure of the National Assembly.
The first session of the new parliament is expected to be held this Thursday, when President Rumen Radev is due to convene lawmakers. However, they will start work under the old rules which provide for a fixed 10-day Easter recess starting on Good Friday (April 30). So far, no National Assembly has ever changed the dates of this parliamentary recess.
On the first day, the MPs will take the oath, elect a speaker of parliament, and the government of Boyko Borisov will resign. The NA must extend the 44th parliament‘s rules of procedure on day one. The president must then enter into consultations with parliamentary groups to form a cabinet. The Constitution does not say how long these consultations can last, but political observers believe that Rumen Radev will not protract them, but will act fast.
There are no obstacles for him to hold consultations with the parliamentary groups as early as 19 April. These consultations may be completed within a day or two. After that, the President shall serve an exploratory mandate to a person designated by the largest parliamentary group, GERB. Within seven days GERB must propose a prime minister and a government. If they do, the president submits this proposal to the NA. A government is formed after two votes of the National Assembly - first a vote for prime minister and then on the composition of the Council of Ministers is voted on at the proposal by the Prime Minister.
With GERB, the procedure may be completed as early as April 26-29.
From April 30 - Good Friday, the 10-day Easter recess of MPs begins. It is not ruled out that it may be shortened, MPs said. Once they return from vacation, the president will hand the second mandate to "There Is Such a People." This will happen on May 10 at the latest. Slavi Trifonov's party is expected to give up the exploratory mandate. The same will happen with the third parliamentary group the president will elect. Therefore, May 13 is the critical date for the dissolution of the 45th National Assembly.
Then it's the president's turn. He dissolves by decree the National Assembly, sets the date of the new parliamentary elections within two months and appoints a caretaker government.
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