Humanity on the Brink: UN Warns We’ve Already Failed the 1.5C Climate Goal
Humanity has already missed the mark on limiting global warming to 1.5C, the UN Secretary-General António Guterres has warned, stressing the urgent need for decisive action
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The 2015 Paris agreement's ambitious goal of limiting global warming to 1.5C remains within reach, a study suggests.
The study is one of several to address the "carbon budget", which - among other things - determines how much CO2 the planet can emit and still reach a given limit for global warming.
It indicates the 2015 target, perceived by some as tough, could be met with very stringent emissions cuts.
It used computer models that project climate behaviour into the future.
The aim of the Paris deal was "holding the increase in global average temperature to well below 2C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit temperature increase to 1.5C."
But scientists admit they were taken by surprise by the ambition of this aim in the agreement.
The results of the work with computer models have been published in Nature Geoscience. This type of work, which involves projecting the behaviour of the climate into the future, necessarily contains uncertainties.
But the study authors say: "Pursuing 'efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C' is not chasing a geophysical impossibility".
Co-author Michael Grubb, from University College London, said: "This paper shows that the Paris goals are within reach, but clarifies what the commitment to 'pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C' really implies."
Those commitments would require strengthening the nationally determined contributions (NDCs) - the pledges to cut emissions contained in the Paris agreement.
Holiday weather conditions are expected to remain mixed across Bulgaria, with alternating periods of sunshine and rain showers, according to the forecast
On Thursday, April 9, weather conditions across Bulgaria are expected to remain unsettled, with variable cloud cover that will often be significant
Meteorologists from the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (NIMH) at the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences have issued a yellow code warning for strong and potentially hazardous winds across all of Bulgaria on Wednesday.
Atmospheric pressure is expected to decline and settle close to the typical levels for this time of year
On Monday, April 6, 2026, morning temperatures across the country will range between 4°C and 9°C, with around 5°C expected in Sofia
Atmospheric pressure across the country is on an upward trend and is expected to exceed the average levels typical for this time of year by the afternoon.
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