Brexit to Have Only Negative Consequences – Former Bulgarian PM
Commenting the outcome of last week's referendum on the UK's membership to the EU in which 51.9% of British voters supported Brexit, former Bulgarian Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski said that nothing positive has come out from the decision to leave the EU.
On the contrary, Brexit is to lead to only negative consequences for Bulgaria, the UK and the EU as a whole.
In an interview for private bTV station on Tuesday, Oresharski said that Brexit would not have significant direct effect on Bulgaria in terms of trade as the commercial exchange with the UK is not so significant.
However since there are many Bulgarians working in the UK as well as many British citizens visiting or living in Bulgaria, inevitably there would be consequences.
The former prime minister added that the people in the UK, including Bulgarians, were already experiencing one of the effects of Brexit, namely the devaluation of the pound.
Oresharski pointed that many things were still unclear and it was too early to say whether the UK would actually leave the EU. Furthermore, it is unknown what conditions will be negotiated in case the UK does leave.
The conditions under which Bulgarians will continue to work in the UK are also unclear, but most likely these would not be as favourable as the ones offered in the member states.
According to him, the outlook was for the EU to face problem with its budget as the UK is the fourth largest contributor.
Oresharski is afraid that this would necessitate the introduction of restrictions to the EU budget. Another less realistic alternative is to increase the contributions paid by the remaining member states, but this would would lead to a new wave of Euroscepticism.
The realistic development for Bulgaria is to receive less funding as a result. The other possible development is to increase the Bulgarian contribution. In both cases, there would be negative consequences.
Another worrying effect comes from the fact that the Bulgarian economy has become heavily dependent on EU funds, which means that any decrease in funding would have negative consequences.
The former prime minister reiterated that Bulgaria is at the beginning of debt crisis. Although Bulgarian debt has remained relatively low compared to other member states, in short time it increased from 14 % to 29 % of GDP.
Brexit would have no direct threat to Bulgarian banks, but would lead to shifting of layers and London will lose its status as financial centre.
In his words, Bulgaria should take the necessary measures to protect the interests of its workers, students and investments in the UK.
Oresharski does not expect all Bulgarians currently in the UK to come back, especially the highly skilled ones. According to him, many of them will likely seek employment in other European countries.
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The security of Europe have deteriorated.. the hell with the economy the security is more important.. now someone will intensify its proxy wars against Russia and this EU have no strength and wisdom to protect its own living space..because this is the European space that is in danger..the instability is on our territory..
So you say democracy is wrong and the fools should not be given opportunity to make choices??? I do not understand!!! in an ant or bee society the bees are not controlled by the Quin.. they follow their genetic code.. they create and kill Quins when needed for the family to exist.. and you are saying in our society the internal drive of every single being does not matter?? I think you are wrong.. may be you are educated in some monetary free market Open society gibberish..are you saying that irrational and arrogant behavior of EU can be ignored??? may be British are trying to escape a sinking boat??
The Media in general and the Internet
is now featuring a plethora of staggeringly inane comments of “Leave” voters in the aftermath of the vote itself.
The level of ignorance displayed by these people does nothing but substantiate my personal view that,
1. Conducting a public referendum having no predetermined minimum/maximum vote level, e.g. less than a 75% majority for either Leave or Remain was the first stupendous political error.
2. Conducting a public referendum on a subject about which the public as a whole have no cognisance was the second stupendous error.
3. Cameron has damned himself, the entire country and, probably the entire remaining E.U. to a period of time during which billions upon billions of euros will be consumed in post Brexit economic repositioning, political back-biting and manoeuvring that, added to the existing global financial downturn, will escalate recession and result in personal and corporate loss as yet unparalleled by any political decision during the past half century.
Lincoln is purported to have said, “You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time”.
Now add: “Unless the People are Fools” - and there you have the reality.