Bulgaria’s Economic Outlook for 2025: Slower Growth, Moderate Wage Increase, and Controlled Inflation
According to the European Commission's Spring 2025 Economic Forecast, Bulgaria’s economy is projected to grow at a slower pace
Bulgaria's budget for this year will have a surplus of at least BGN 1.508 B, the Finance Ministry has said.
The figure amounts to 1.6% of the GDP projection, according to a ministry statement. The National Statistical Institute (NSI)'s revised estimate for the previous year, 2015, was a 1.7% deficit.
Compared to the previous year, the budget balance for 2016 shows an improvement of 4.4 percentage points, largely owed to higher revenues and lower expenditure.
Revenues to the treasury are projected at BGN 33.944 B (2.8% higher than the figure set in the State Budget Act currently enforced), BGN 1.745 B more compared to last year.
The reason is better tax collection and other revenues, but not EU allocations whose value is lower than last year.
Direct taxes grew by BGN 2.1 B this year, while indirect ones (excise duties and others) were up by BGN 1.2 B, VAT revenue alone having increased by 11.5% (or BGN 0.9 B), the ministry argues.
Expenditure will be at BGN 32.436 B, according to current projections, or 93.2% of what was set in the budget.
EU absorption targets are not expected to be met, falling BGN 2 B short of the value set in the budget, with the ministry citing the fact most operational programs are at an "initial stage".
Bulgaria has disbursed BGN 859.5 B to the EU as its annual contribution, the institution has added.
Economist Georgi Stoev has launched a personal awareness campaign on social media to address concerns about the euro introduction in Bulgaria
Bulgaria’s transition to the euro raises many questions about how loans and payments will be handled
During the Investor.bg Banking Today conference, held on May 13 at the Inter Expo Center, Prof. Raul Eamets emphasized that Bulgaria is practically already linked to the euro due to the currency board
Bulgaria has reported a deflation rate of -0.8% for April 2025, with annual inflation recorded at 3.5%
According to the latest data from the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB), the number of individuals in Bulgaria holding bank deposits of over 1 million BGN continues to rise steadily—at an average rate of one new millionaire depositor per day.
According to data published on the Bulgarian National Bank’s (BNB) official website, household lending surged by 20.
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