Alarming: Sharp Surge in Bulgaria’s External Deficits Signals Growing Financial Vulnerabilities
In April 2025, Bulgaria recorded a current account deficit of 724.9 million euros, marking the largest monthly shortfall since January 2022
Bulgaria's budget for this year will have a surplus of at least BGN 1.508 B, the Finance Ministry has said.
The figure amounts to 1.6% of the GDP projection, according to a ministry statement. The National Statistical Institute (NSI)'s revised estimate for the previous year, 2015, was a 1.7% deficit.
Compared to the previous year, the budget balance for 2016 shows an improvement of 4.4 percentage points, largely owed to higher revenues and lower expenditure.
Revenues to the treasury are projected at BGN 33.944 B (2.8% higher than the figure set in the State Budget Act currently enforced), BGN 1.745 B more compared to last year.
The reason is better tax collection and other revenues, but not EU allocations whose value is lower than last year.
Direct taxes grew by BGN 2.1 B this year, while indirect ones (excise duties and others) were up by BGN 1.2 B, VAT revenue alone having increased by 11.5% (or BGN 0.9 B), the ministry argues.
Expenditure will be at BGN 32.436 B, according to current projections, or 93.2% of what was set in the budget.
EU absorption targets are not expected to be met, falling BGN 2 B short of the value set in the budget, with the ministry citing the fact most operational programs are at an "initial stage".
Bulgaria has disbursed BGN 859.5 B to the EU as its annual contribution, the institution has added.
Recent analysis by the financial portal "Moite pari" indicates that interest rates on bank deposits are starting to climb, particularly noticeable among smaller banks over the past year
Inflation in Bulgaria recorded a slight uptick in May 2025
Bulgaria has secured an additional 300 million leva in debt from the domestic market, according to the results of the latest government securities auction held by the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB)
In April 2025, Bulgaria recorded a current account deficit of 724.9 million euros, marking the largest monthly shortfall since January 2022
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