Standard & Poor's Reaffirms Bulgaria's Credit Rating with Positive Outlook
The international rating agency Standard & Poor's has reaffirmed Bulgaria's long-term and short-term credit rating at 'BBB/A-2' in both foreign and local currency
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Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said on Tuesday it had revised its outlook on the Republic of Bulgaria to stable from negative. The 'BBB' long-term and 'A-3' short-term sovereign credit ratings were affirmed.
"The stable outlook reflects our view of the government's commitment to fiscal discipline. We believe this is likely to be demonstrated by the full implementation of the budgetary plan and supplementary deficit-reducing measures, should the current downturn lead to stronger budgetary pressure than what is currently foreseen," Standard & Poor's credit analyst Marko Mrsnik said.
"The outlook also hinges on our expectation that the government will implement structural reforms in the social security system, particularly in health care, despite the adverse economic environment."
According to the agency Bulgaria continues to face economic risks due to the uncertain outlook for external demand and the sharp tightening of the external commercial credit channel, which negatively affects domestic demand.
Standard & Poor's expects Bulgaria's GDP to contract by around 6% in 2009 and a further 2% in 2010, followed by a positive growth rate in 2011.
The deficit for this year is set at up to 1% of GDP, the lowest in the EU. A similarly low deficit is expected in 2010, on the back the government's plan to implement significant budgetary adjustment.
Financier Levon Hampartzumyan has forecast a gradual rise in loan interest rates in Bulgaria, noting that current levels are historically very low and cannot be sustained indefinitely.
The withdrawal of lev banknotes and coins is continuing in line with the approved schedule, although the pace of the process is expected to ease in the coming period
Bulgaria has officially launched the 2026 tax campaign for income earned in 2025, and early results show strong public engagement.
The latest data from the Bulgarian National Bank reveal a striking growth in large household deposits by the end of December 2025.
In the final quarter of 2025, Bulgaria’s economy showed signs of slowing, with gross domestic product (GDP) rising by 2.9 percent year-on-year, down from 3.1 percent in the same period of 2024.
The introduction of the euro in Bulgaria is unfolding in line with expectations, according to Bulgarian National Bank Governor Dimitar Radev, who spoke at an economic forum in Sofia hosted by The Economist magazine.
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