Stanishev's Out. Will Simeon Follow?

Novinite Insider » EDITORIAL | July 28, 2005, Thursday // 00:00

By Petya Bondokova

The dramatic struggle to form a Socialists-led government ended with defeat for ambitious leader Stanishev, 39.

But that does not make the political situation in Bulgaria any clearer. The only thing certain is that the former King Simeon Saxe-Coburg is now on the move, and he pretty much faces the same risks that failed Stanishev.

The inability to rule independently continues to be the key to the intrigue. And as with the Stanishev saga, now all eyes are on possible coalition partners. Will they reach a stable agreement with Simeon, or will they fail him?

SIINM's most likely allies are the three right-wing forces in Parliament. Ivan Kostov's Democrats for Strong Bulgaria (DSB), the Union of Democratic Forces (UDF) led by Nadezhda Mihaylova and the three-force bloc Bulgarian National Union (BNU) are already regrouping around the former King.

Allies or foes - only time will tell whether the ambitious rightist leaders will suppress their own ambitions, and provide stable support to Simeon.

Such fragile union could easily be thorn apart by power hunger, either from Ivan Kostov, Nadezhda Mihaylova or Stefan Sofianski.

Ironically, the three were once united in one party, but power struggle chased them away from each other, each to head his/ her separate force.

All of them have had a taste of state power, and proved to be strong and motivated personalities. Both Kostov and Sofianski have occupied the Prime Minister's post before. And in Ivan Kostov's Cabinet Nadezhda Mihaylova used to control the key Foreign Ministry.

The three go-getters might find it difficult to play subordinated roles for Simeon, after they could not do so for their own cause.

But in case of breakup with the right-wingers, Saxe-Coburg still has a choice. He could make a U-turn and invite the Socialists to a coalition, only this time it would be his mandate. Thus the outgoing Prime Minister would be in the position to call the shots, and why not keep his post for a second term?

The Socialists Party's plans to form their own government failed. And the reason for that is Simeon's last-minute withdrawal from a planned coalition with the Socialists. His surprising move left them without a Parliamentary majority, and with no time to draw another good plan.

Either way, they have nothing to lose now. Uniting with Simeon could give them a piece of the governing power, which they craved so bad but failed to seize. The offer would be a tempting one, indeed.

Whatever option the King should choose, he would not be surrounded by friends.

The left and the right wings are hungry for a piece of the cake. And for as long as Simeon is the key to satisfying their ambitions, a union might be the choice.

The good news for the ex-King is that he has Sergey Stanishev's fiasco to learn from. And eventually he would not repeat the same mistakes.

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