Stanishev: A Victorious March to Uncertainty

Novinite Insider » EDITORIAL | July 18, 2005, Monday // 00:00
Stanishev: A Victorious March to Uncertainty Sergey Stanishev – what will the future bring for the ambitious but inexperienced leader? Photo by Yuliana Nikolova (Sofia News Agency)

by Petya Bondokova

After eight years on the opposition side, the Socialists are now formally returning to state power. But will their young leader prove strong enough to dominate in the future governing coalition?

Immediately after June's general elections it was clear that there weren't absolute winners. The Socialist Party topped the results, but did not garner enough votes to rule on their own.

Furthermore, coalescing with only one other party would mean shakiness for the future government. So the winners need a three-party union to ensure stability during their mandate.

What are the main risks for the Socialists?

Their leader Sergey Stanishev seemed overexcited and happy to receive the mandate from President Georgi Parvanov Monday. But it still doesn't seem like a time for celebration for young Stanishev. Because the most likely formula of the to-be coalition would put him shoulder-to-shoulder with much more experienced political players. The Socialist hopeful seems to enter a longstanding war of nerves to secure his dominance in state power.

Simeon Saxe-Coburg and Ahmed Dogan are the names that should motivate Sergey to learn quickly about smart political maneuvers.

The two are the leaders of the Simeon II National Movement (SIINM) and the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (MRF) respectively. Together they ruled Bulgaria during the previous mandate.

Former child King Saxe-Coburg, unlike Stanishev, is an influential figure on the European diplomatic arena, with close relations to powerful politicians and royalties. He earned even more experience during his four years as Bulgarian Premier. Election results left him on the second position following the SP, indicting continuing strong support by Bulgarian people.

Next in poll results came the MRF. That cemented Ahmed Dogan's status of an incomparably clever politician. His party has been often criticized for its ethnic Turkish origin, but The Falcon (Dogan's popular nickname) eventually managed to strengthen his position. It is an actual fact that today the MRF is Bulgaria's third most influential party.

The two outstanding leaders have a fair chance of gradually regaining dominance, even with Stanishev on the prime minister's post.

The good news for the SP head is that he is surrounded by veteran Socialists like Rumen Ovtcharov and Rumen Petkov, who are also said to eye key post in the future Cabinet.

President Parvanov, nominated by the Socialists Party himself, could also be an unofficial ally of the likely new Premier.

But Stanishev's young age of 39 and the lack of governing experience still make him vulnerable to manipulations by more practiced players.

Will he withstand and win recognition as a powerful politician? Or will he give in to pressure and leave the country shaky right before EU entry?

This is definitely going to be one of the hottest issues in Bulgarian politics over the next year.

We need your support so Novinite.com can keep delivering news and information about Bulgaria! Thank you!

Editorial » Be a reporter: Write and send your article

Advertisement
Advertisement
Bulgaria news Novinite.com (Sofia News Agency - www.sofianewsagency.com) is unique with being a real time news provider in English that informs its readers about the latest Bulgarian news. The editorial staff also publishes a daily online newspaper "Sofia Morning News." Novinite.com (Sofia News Agency - www.sofianewsagency.com) and Sofia Morning News publish the latest economic, political and cultural news that take place in Bulgaria. Foreign media analysis on Bulgaria and World News in Brief are also part of the web site and the online newspaper. News Bulgaria