Bulgaria Warned: Gasoline Could Hit €1.50 if Oil Reaches 100 Dollars per Barrel
In Bulgaria, fuel industry experts warn that if oil prices reach USD 100 per barrel, gasoline at the pump could exceed €1.50 per liter.
Denkov (WCC-DB), Gyurov, Radev
The appointment of Andrey Gyurov as Bulgaria's caretaker prime minister shows what's really happening in Bulgarian politics right now. Behind the constitutional formalities, a coalition against corruption is taking shape before April's elections.
When Acting President Iliana Yotova picked Gyurov from the constitutionally required "house book" of eligible candidates, she made the only choice that counted. Of the five officials who said they were willing to serve, four were connected to the existing GERB-DPS power structure. Court of Auditors Chair Dimitar Glavchev, a former GERB MP who has already run two caretaker governments that protected Boyko Borissov's interests, was clearly out of the question for anyone wanting to break Bulgaria's pattern of state capture. His deputies and Deputy Ombudswoman Maria Filipova, all appointed by the current parliamentary majority, would have meant more of the same corrupt system.
Gyurov was different - the only candidate not caught up in the Borissov-Peevski networks that have controlled Bulgarian politics for years. That's exactly why he was chosen.
Yotova's choice needs to be seen as an extension of former President Rumen Radev's political plans. As his vice-president from 2017 to 2026, she's still widely seen as acting on his behalf, carrying out his strategy even as he gets ready to compete in April's elections himself. Picking Gyurov, who is a former WCC-DB parliamentary group chairman with liberal politics, but also a pragmatic one, sends a message about who will work together in the future.
The backlash came fast. Slavi Trifonov (TISP) said the presidency has made "an agreement" with WCC-DB, while GERB claimed the caretaker cabinet would be run by Yotova and the liberal opposition. But these complaints show fear more than any real constitutional problem. What Borissov and Peevski understand (and what worries them) is that power is moving away from them.
The political math is simple. Radev will probably compete in April's vote either by starting his own party or taking over a smaller one. He (probably) can't beat GERB and DPS-New Beginning by himself. He needs partners, and WCC-DB is the best option for a government focused on breaking up what Radev calls the "captured state."
This wouldn't be a partnership based on shared beliefs. Radev's positions on Ukraine/Russia and Euro-Atlantic relations are very different from WCC-DB's clear Western stance. Ivo Hristov, Radev's former chief of staff and someone who still speaks for him informally, has been careful not to call WCC-DB a "guaranteed partner," even while praising Radev for not ruling out working with GERB completely. But the coalition would work because it's needed - brought together not by ideology but by shared opposition to the destructive oligarchy that has gutted Bulgarian institutions.
Further reading: NATO Pilot, Putin Sympathizer, or Something Else? Who Is Rumen Radev and Why Did He Just Blow Up Bulgarian Politics
The logic is clear to anyone watching Bulgarian politics closely. Radev has spent years attacking the Borissov-Peevski model. He's talked about state capture, he's supported mass protests, and he's refused to accept their way of doing things. Now he's positioning himself to actually do something about it. WCC-DB, despite their policy differences with Radev on some issues, shares the same enemy. That's enough for now.
Gyurov's job until April is straightforward but risky: make sure the elections are fair. Past early elections were full of vote buying and cheating, mostly organized through networks run by GERB and DPS-New Beginning. The interior minister's job will be key, since that position controls the tools needed to break up the vote-buying operations in poor communities. Names like Ivan Demerdzhiev and Boyko Rashkov, both connected to earlier reform attempts, are already being talked about. The electronic governance minister, who oversees voting machines, will be just as important.
When Dimitar Glavchev ran previous caretaker governments, GERB and DPS-New Beginning kept their control over the administration, especially in regional appointments that helped Peevski (infamous oligarch, sanctioned under the Magnitsky Act) in his fight with Ahmed Dogan for support among ethnic Turkish voters. Gyurov's cabinet should change this, shifting power away from the oligarch networks that have treated government jobs as their personal property.
The meaning is hard to miss. Borissov and Peevski have worked for years without consequences, treating Bulgaria's government institutions as tools for their private interests. Radev's long fight against this system - his constant criticism of oligarch control, his public protests, his refusal to legitimize their deals - has connected with ordinary Bulgarians in the huge demonstrations that brought down the last government.
But there's a real risk here too. Gyurov will need to prove he can run a neutral caretaker government while everyone knows his political background. Any mistakes his cabinet makes will be used against WCC-DB during the campaign. GERB and their allies are already watching closely, ready to claim that every decision proves the caretaker government is biased. At the same time, Gyurov needs to actually deliver fair elections, which means taking on the vote-buying networks that have worked openly in previous elections.
The bigger question is what happens after April. Can a Radev-WCC-DB alliance actually govern together? Their policy differences are real. Radev's skepticism about some Euro-Atlantic positions puts him at odds with WCC-DB's foreign policy stance. His popularity comes partly from voters who don't trust the liberal reforms WCC-DB supports. And WCC-DB's own track record in government has been mixed - they've struggled to turn their anti-corruption talk into lasting change.
Still, Gyurov's appointment by Yotova is the first move in a larger strategy. It positions WCC-DB as informal allies in the coming fight against state capture, even though formal coalition talks are being saved for after voters have their say. It shows that the April elections will happen on more level ground than Bulgaria has seen in years. And it suggests that the period after the election might finally produce a government willing to take on the oligarchs who have stolen from the Bulgarian state.
Whether this anti-corruption partnership lasts or falls apart remains unknown. But right now, Gyurov's appointment is what it looks like: a statement of purpose, and a preview of the political shift ahead.
This text is published as an opinion piece; the article does not necessarily reflect the views of Novinite.com
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