Is Russian Oil Flowing to Bulgaria in 2026?
Bulgaria's only oil refinery, Lukoil Neftochim Burgas, processed Russian crude for most of its post-Soviet history. Since March 2024, that has been banned by law
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The building of the finance ministry. File photo
Based on preliminary data and figures, Bulgaria’s finance ministry estimates that budget surplus will exceed BGN 2.3 B at the end of April, which is 2.6 % of projected GDP.
Higher revenues and shrinking expenditures continue to contribute to the improving budget stance compared to the same period last year.
The forecast of the ministry expects revenues to exceed BGN 12.1 B at the end of April, recording an increase of BGN 861.3 M compared to the first four months of last year.
Expenditures are estimated to exceed BGN 9.8 B, which will be a decrease of BGN 780.1 M compared to the same period last year.
The finance ministry also released its figures on the consolidated fiscal programme performance data as of March 31.
According to it, the consolidated fiscal programme balance at the end of March was positive, with the budget surplus exceeding BGN 1.8 B, which is 2.1 % of projected GDP. For comparison, budget surplus in the first quarter of last year amounted to BGN 255.9 M.
By the end of March, revenues and grants exceeded BGN 9 B, which represented an increase by more than BGN 1.3 B compared to the first quarter of 2015.
Expenditures exceeded BGN 7.2 B, registering a decrease of BGN 305. 7 M compared to the same quarter last year.
As of the end of March, Bulgaria’s fiscal reserve amounted to BGN 11.9 B, while government debt exceeded BGN 13.3 B, amounting to 29.3 % of the projected GDP.
The Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) has decided to increase the countercyclical capital buffer to 2.25%, in a move aimed at easing pressure on the rapidly growing housing credit market and strengthening the resilience of the banking system.
The Ministry of Finance has released a broad public dataset covering more than 7,000 public procurement contracts with a combined value exceeding 30 billion euros
Caretaker Finance Minister Georgi Klisurski said he expects fuel prices at gas stations to ease in the coming period, pointing to a sharp decline in international oil markets
Bulgaria’s new government borrowing for 2026 has surpassed the 1 billion euro mark following the latest successful auction of state securities, according to data cited from the Bulgarian National Bank
Bulgaria recorded only a modest and one-off increase in inflation following the adoption of the euro on January 1, with the effect estimated at between 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points
Data released by the Ministry of Finance, covering budget execution for February 2026 and preliminary estimates for March 2026, indicate a marked deterioration in Bulgaria’s fiscal position
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