Bulgaria’s GERB Lags behind Socialists - Poll
Five political parties have a chance to enter the Bulgarian Parliament if elections were to be held now, according to a freshly released poll of the Sova Harris agency.
The poll has been conducted between October 18 and October 24 among 1 000 Bulgarians of voting age.
Polling experts say the results speak of a stable trend since June, 2013, and attribute it to both, the lasting high level of electoral support for the formerly-ruling centrist and opposition Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria party, GERB, and the consolidation of their opponents.
The main alternatives continue to be GERB and the Bulgarian Socialist Party, BSP.
If elections were to be held now, GERB would gather 19.5% of the vote, while BSP will get 21.7%.
The other parties likely to pass the 4% election threshold and enter the country's next Parliament are the liberal, predominantly ethnic Turkish Movement for Rights and Freedoms, DPS, with 5.3% and the recently-founded right-leaning Reformist Block with 3.8%.
The extreme nationalist party Ataka, currently the fourth political formation in the Parliament in addition to GERB, BSP, and DPS, continues to lose ground and would get only 2.0%. However, support is also dropping for Ataka's biggest rival, the nationalist National Front for Salvation of Bulgaria, NFSB, which came close to 4% in the May 12 early elections, as it would garner 1.9% if elections were to be held now.
Experts say 17.8% of the respondents are still undecided and this should be taken into account.
If one counts only those who have chosen their favorite, then BSP would get 41.2%, GERB – 37%, DPS – 10.1%, the Reformist Block – 7%, Bulgaria without Censorship and VMRO-BND – 4.6%.
Curiously, the former and current Presidents, Georgi Parvanov and Rosen Plevneliev, get the same level of voter confidence – 34.7%.
With 41.7%, Bulgarian EU Commissioner, Kristalina Georgieva has the highest approval rate among leaders of institutions. Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski has the approval of almost one third of respondents. The leaders of BSP and GERB, Sergey Stanishev and Boyko Borisov, have almost identical results, 27.8% and 27.6%, respectively, followed by the Speaker of the Parliament Mihail Mikov with 22.4%.
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