Greece Default Risk Up to 50% - Moody's

World | June 2, 2011, Thursday // 12:01
Bulgaria: Greece Default Risk Up to 50% - Moody's Protesters stand in front of the Greek parliament in Athens, Greece. For more than one week, tens of thousands of Greeks have held peaceful anti-austerity protests in Athens and other cities, in a new Internet-sparked movement. Photo by BGNES

Greece's credit rating has been cut again by rating agency Moody's just five notches short of default.

Moody's now rates the Mediterranean nation at Caa1, down from B1. Its outlook is still negative, which implies that further downgrades may follow.

The agency said it now puts Greece's risk of default at around 50%.

"The first trigger for today's downgrade is Moody's view that Greece is increasingly likely to fail to stabilise its debt ratios within the timeframe set by previously announced fiscal consolidation plans," the agency said in a statement.

The ratings agency said it appears increasingly likely that the International Monetary Fund, European Central Bank and EU Commission, which together have bolstered the country so far, will require private creditors to participate in a debt restructuring as a precondition for funding support.

Moody's cited the Greek government's failure to meet several fiscal-consolidation targets last year as signs that the country is unlikely to achieve its 2011 budget goals.

Restructuring of Greece's debt is still avoidable simply because a default in the near term would be very destabilizing for the entire euro zone, Moody's said.

The news of the downgrade comes just as Greece and its international sponsors finalise a deal on the execution of delayed bailout reforms, clearing the way for the release of a EUR 12 B loan to Athens.

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Tags: greece, Moody's, default, International Monetary Fund, European Central Bank, EU Commission

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