Poll: GERB to Win Bulgaria 2009 European Elections with 9% Lead
Sofia Mayor Boyko Borisov's party GERB has a 9% lead for the coming 2009 European Elections.
This becomes clear from a public opinion poll carried out in mid April by the Alpha Research Agency, whose results were presented on the Bulgarian National TV (BNT 1) Thursday morning by sociologist Boryana Dimitrova.
The Alpha Research poll shows that if the European Parliament Elections were today, 24% of the votes would go to the center-right GERB party.
The ruling Bulgarian Socialist Party would get about 15-16% of the votes. The ethnic Turkish Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) and the far-right Ataka party both get between 7% and 8% of the votes.
Bulgaria's rightist "Blue Coalition" of the Union of Democratic Forces, the emblematic party of the Bulgarian transition to democracy in 1990s, and the Democrats for Strong Bulgaria party of the former Prime Minister Ivan Kostov, is predicted to get about 7%.
The Alpha Research poll also shows that the rightist "Order, Law, Justice" party of MP Yane Yanev, and the National Movement for Stability and Progress of Bulgaria's former Tsar and former PM, Simeon Saxe-Coburg, also stand a chance of winning one Member of the European Parliament.
According to the poll, 33% of the eligible Bulgarian voters are expected to participate in the 2009 European Elections, which is a rather low number but is still more than the 28% who voted in Bulgaria's first EU elections in 2007.
Sociologist Boryana Dimitrova has also pointed out that if there was a clear winner in the Bulgarian European Parliament Elections on June 7, 2009, this would likely lead to even more votes for the same party in the Bulgarian Parliament Elections on July 5, 2009.
According to Dimitrova, the overwhelming majority of the Bulgarians do not understand the difference between the national Parliament elections and the European Parliament elections, and thus, the election results would be identical.
Bulgaria has 18 seats in the European Parliament that will be up for grabs in the elections on June 7, 2009.
In Bulgaria's first European Parliament Elections, in May 2007, GERB won 21,6% of the votes (5 seats), BSP won 21,4% (5 seats), DPS got 20,2% (4 seats), Ataka received 14% (3 seats), NMSP got 6,3% (1 seat).
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