Turkey will probably not become a member of the European Union for at least another 10 years because it must resolve tensions over Cyprus as well as pass key reforms, according to a Reuters poll, cited by Turkish media on Friday. The mid-range of 34 forecasts in the February 9 to 11 poll showed a 30 percent chance of the EU agreeing to open accession talks with Turkey in late 2004 or early 2005, unchanged from the last poll in November. Analysts said Turkey would join the EU in 2015, compared with 2014 in the previous survey. The divided island of Cyprus, which will join the EU in May along with nine other states, remains a key focus for Turkey's bid for membership.

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