Nationalist Leader - Kingmaker in Bulgaria
No matter what politicians say, one thing is for sure.
A small, nationalist party has become the kingmaker in negotiations to form a new government after the early snap elections did not produce a clear winner.
Now everybody is wooing Ataka’s leader Volen Siderov. He will have no second chance for that, he knows it all too well.
Siderov will find it hard to form a credible coalition with either main party.
If he supports Boyko Borisov, he will not be a man of his word. On the other hand, socialists and racists are strange bedfellows.
And if a coalition of socialists, Turks and nationalists is in the offing, it is beyond my grasp how exactly a much-maligned ethnic minority party, backed largely by ethnic Turks in Turkey, is supposed to co-operate with extreme nationalists.
If Siderov decides to take the risk, his voters will never forgive him. He will feel their revenge at the next elections, when his current fans will back another nationalist party.
His is not an easy lot.
Bulgaria’s kingmaker? Yes, if he is vested in power. But his stint may be over too soon, after which another kingmaker will take his place in the spotlight.
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About half of the members of the parliamentary group of Ataka left the group and party after the last parliament was constituted.
It is not difficult to predict that the same will happen this time as well. The Ataka deputees are now in the comfortable position to wait for the "best" offer from the two possible buyers. Best not for Bulgaria but for their private coffers.